Guide: Vote Crate Chances

EmperorBonaparte

Active Member
MVP
EmperorBonaparte
EmperorBonaparte
MVP
Joined
Dec 23, 2018
Posts
49
Ratings
66
#1
vote png.png


Vote Crate Experiment
I was collecting vote crates for a few weeks and managed to gain about 200 of them. I thought it would be a good idea to open 200 of them and see the % chances of the items you get. Here are the results!

Items in Vote Crate
$30,000, $40,000, $50,000, $75,000, $100,000
500 EXP, 1000 EXP, 2000 EXP
100 Mana, 200 Mana, 300 Mana, 400 Mana
1x Dragonfruit, 2x Dragonfruit, 3x Dragonfruit
Angel Dust
Grand Scrambler

Percentage Chances
The way I calculated percentage chances was to count all of the items I received and divide each category by 200 (e.g. the number of $30,000 rewards/200). This does mean that the totals of percentages will reach over 100%, but the chance of getting a specific item from a singular vote chest will be accurate, as it includes the double items.

For those interested: the percentage chance of getting 2 items on a vote crate is ~45%, this could be 50% however, as the sample size allows anomalies to make more of a difference! Also, you can not get the same item twice in a vote crate.

I am very aware of the fact that 200 is a small sample size, and can not be considered definitive, but the results should have a reasonable degree of accuracy.

Here is a table of my results:
table.PNG


Rundown
Evidently 200 is a very small sample size, so these numbers will not be exact, however it is clear that most of these items have values of about 20, suggesting they have equal % chances when opening a vote crate (at 10%).
The exceptions to this are (I believe) with Angel Dust, Grand Scramblers, and 3x Dragonfruit. These seem to have a lower value than the others, and are some of the most valuable items, which suggests to me these would have a lower percentage chance.


Cubits/Vote
I thought a fun conclusion to these results would be to find out how valuable vote crates actually are, using the prices listed below and the exact chances of 3x Dragonfruit, Angel Dust and Grand Scramblers but 10% for every other item.

Prices
$30,000 = 1% of a pig spawner = 0.0001 Cubits
$40,000 = 1.33% of a pig spawner = 0.000133 Cubits
$50,000 = 1.67% of a pig spawner = 0.000167 Cubits

$75,000 = 2.5% of a pig spawner = 0.00025 Cubits
$100,000 = 3.33% of a pig spawner = 0.000333 Cubits
500 XP = 3.33% of 15k XP = 116.67 Mana = 0.000583 Cubits
1000 XP = 6.67% of 15k XP = 233.33 Mana = 0.001167 Cubits
2000 XP = 13.33% of 15k XP = 466.67 Mana = 0.002333 Cubits
100 Mana = 5% of 2k Mana = 0.0005 Cubits
200 Mana = 10% of 2k Mana = 0.001 Cubits
300 Mana = 15% of 2k Mana = 0.0015 Cubits
400 Mana = 20% of 2k Mana = 0.002 Cubits
1x Dragonfruit = 500 Mana = 0.0025 Cubits
2x Dragonfruit = 1000 Mana = 0.005 Cubits
3x Dragonfruit = 1500 Mana = 0.0075 Cubits
Angel Dust = Random 1-30% Level = Average 15.5% = 7,750 Mana = 0.03875 Cubits

Grand Scrambler = 500 Mana = 0.0025 Cubits

Calculation:
(0.0001*0.1)+(0.000133*0.1)+(0.000167*0.1)+(0.00025*0.1)+(0.000333*0.1)+(0.000583*0.1)+(0.001167*0.1)+(0.002333*0.1)+(0.0005*0.1)+(0.001*0.1)+(0.0015*0.1)+(0.002*0.1)+(0.0025*0.1)+(0.005*0.1)+(0.0075*0.065)+(0.03875*0.075)+(0.0025*0.055)
= 0.00528785 Cubits per Vote Crate!
This makes the price of a vote crate 1057.57 Mana


Thanks
Thanks for reading my guide! I hope it wasn't unbearably boring.